Winseer:
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Some people might continue buy it some may not. But if EU impose 20% import tax people might switch to Irish whisky for example.
Nothing is known yet, what will or will not happen.
Great EU imposes 20% import tax on Scotch whisky then we impose 40% import tax on French wine and Brandy.So does Switzerland and Norway.While domestic consumption increases because we save the EU VAT component which gets taken off the domestic price.
You seem to have this weird one sided idea of trade wars.
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You are hungry for wars. Brexit will be mass for all, but UK will suffer more then anyone else. Put to the equation the 3 million jobs(bare minimum) directly linked to EU, employers living UK, investors living UK etc. add to this the trade war that you talks so much about, because of all of the above devaluation of the pound, lost savings, growing insecurity. Second comes peoples life what EU nationals will do in UK, will they be forced to leave, what about their property, vice versa, what about UK nationals in EU. What about the families of mixed marriages, what about their kids…
It will be mess for sure.
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You’re the one who seems to be all about imposing trade sanctions in the case of a Brexit not me.While yes I’ve already taken account of all the bs that Eastern Europe obviously intends if we decide to get out of the scam.IE net contributor and net importer are self explanatory.In that whatever you choose to throw at us economically it will cost you money and jobs while saving us money and providing jobs.In which case our economy can only be stronger because unlike now we’ll have control over our trade balance with the EU.
As for who leaves and who stays do you really think that we were another isolated version of North Korea before we joined the EU.
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Trade sanctions? Its simply EU trade mechanisms to protect its members, they are active now. The moment you leave, the rules will be changed and you will be treated like outside of EU country.
Simple example, try to import car from US and from Germany/France/Italy etc. all EU countries, and tell me which one cost more in taxes.
Work visas will be implemented both ways, Ex pats wont be able to retire in many if not all EU countries. And this is one of the many unknown questions that need to be answered.
Stop comparing UK after leaving EU with UK before entered EU, everything is different. How you gonna be net contributor and importer when you loose millions of jobs, billions of investment, all of your mechandise becomes expensive because of import taxes those uncompetitive etc.
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Outside of the EU we won’t be able to make money out of the EU. It’ll be like losing lots of money by being in the EU - but less. That’s net better off.
For Scotland - They’ll be able to negotiate their own trade deals, without going through the UK to get them. It will actually be a further step towards “devo max” if the UK leaves the EU therefore.
If the EU refuse to sell us their wares, or attempt to charge levies upon their wares - we’ll just have to source the stuff in question from somewhere else.
This will hurt EU trade more than it will hurt us having to transport it in from further afield. This extra use of transportation - will be good for the transport industry of course…
If the EU refuses to buy our stuff - well, what with nearly all our industry gone as it is - there’s not actually a lot of stuff that they buy off us that’s making us rich as it is.
Better off we flog it straight to the far east and the Americas instead. America won’t like us weakening NATO, and China won’t like us loosening our position in Europe - but they’ll not trade sanction us for it! That’s an act of war after all…
German car sales in America look to be mortally wounded as it is. A good time for our own car industry to open up new trade ties with petrol vehicles with the rest of the world - now that Petrol is coming back into fashion again.
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I think both us and the US long ago realised that trade for trade sake won’t work.When what’s needed is trade barriers and quotas which in this case usually sorted themselves out.IE American buyers bought mostly American cars and we bought mostly British anyway.Bearing in mind that no one can buy a car or anything else from anyone if they are unemployed because their job has been lost to imports.