IF Covid has been blown out of proportion from the start…
Ask yourselves “What is achieved by ending the lockdown, but extending the social distancing”…
Answer:
Big Business - struggles to recover market share in the “changed big society” we’ve now backdoored into, by accident or design of our current Tories, who supposedly have nothing to do with Cameron’s old agenda…
Small businesses - will thrive on the other hand, as they now have people laid off from faraway commuter work taken on locally for far less money, but less incentive to go out and waste higher overhead costs…
Although the lock-down is over in all-but-name by this point, people discover that to earn half the money locally, buying your food locally, and taking your holidays locally as well - means your spending as a household drops even faster than your pay did. Your disposable income goes UP. There might even be a baby boom if previously working commuter couples end up being “Dad works for half pay locally, Mum gets job at local parade of shops” meaning a return of things like “Family Dinners” and Dad getting rid of the Merc or Audi that he used to commute to town in…
The first everyone will notice here is “rather busy townie roads” at the same time as “deserted cross-country trunk roads”…
NO return of “Rat Race” rush-hour traffic on roads like the M25 or M1 - We’re already seeing a clean-up of the environment as a result of “less traffic”, and more noticably “no vapour trails in the sky”…
This is the biggest upheaval we’ve seen for a full century, let alone our own lifetimes.
Even during the Blitz - you could go down the pub and socialize, go to work, walking around the sandbags, with your gasmask and tin hat hanging off your belt…
Not so this time.
Businesses that rely on “social activity” are doomed, but hey - we’d already lost most of our pubs… No further noticable harm done there then.
What about Eateries? Fine - if you cook up a product that people within walking distance want to buy, or can at least deliver food to a wider area using minimum wage drivers… Lots of new jobs for such drivers huh?
Then there’s “Corporate Hospitality” - Toally doomed imo, but then again, “Who cares” if you don’t have any of your own household income relying on this particular sector.
Mummy used to work in PR, and Daddy used to be a big-shot Yuman Rights Lawyer doing taxpayer-funded work for people he can now no longer even meet up with! Oh dear! - How are the mighty fallen!
The rest of us see “Another couple of flash cars missing off the M25 this morning…”.
What I’m getting at here is that “Socially Distanced” becomes the new Norm.
Other knock-on effects, are “less diseases spread” across the entire spectrum, Everything from Colds and Flu to the Clap…
A healthier society then, and more importantly one far less reliant upon the NHS.
The collapse in fuel prices - is a symptom rather than a benefit of what is already happening here.
I won’t just suggest that “We’ve seen Oil at $100 for the last time” - but we’ve also seen “Oil at even $50 for the last time” as well, despite Oil starting this year above that level.
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I also suggest that food prices will come DOWN rather than “Rise”, as we move towards becoming self-sufficient in our own farming capabilities again.
No More “■■■■ Seed” and “Lavender” by the time we’re done… More “Thanet Earth” type places popping up though.
Food Imports will continue to take place with regards to Tropical fruits, or stuff that continues to be cheaper from overseas, such as Mass-produced pet food, which we’re already stocking on our shelves.
No need to “Eat our own pets” any time soon then!
The EU? - We’re already able to continue importing EU grown stuff as before, with the only threat to such supply being if the EU should try to impose tariffs on that food to somehow “starve us out”, which won’t work, as what we import - doesn’t actually consist of many staples - does it?
If anything, the EU will end up with a “Food Glut” in a similar way to the world’s recent Oil Glut. They’ll try and keep us in by selling us food at knock-down prices IF you stay in…
There’s no need. We can freely buy cut-priced food from anywhere we damned well please from outside of the EU but including FROM the EU as well, if we wish.
It doesn’t need a “Free Trade Agreement” - we just carry on as before, the EU daring not to “block the trade” already taking place.
Is there a shortage of Oranges of late? NO! - But Spain might end up with an unsold glut - if the EU don’t stop interfering!!
The lock-down is practically already over in all but name. People are busying-up the streets ever more each day that goes by now.
Economic Activity within towns and cities is already returning to normal. It is City-City stuff that seems to be on the back foot still…
How come? - Could it be it is because if you are travelling in a car on a trunk road now - you might get pulled by plod, and asked to produce your “Key Worker Letter” hmm?
No Letter=Fined at the Roadside for taking an unnecessary journey…
Thus, “Stay at Home” gets relaxed to “Stay in your towns”… Then the Schools go back a few weeks later… No need to stop “Social Distancing” - until it has done the damage to BIG business that I reckon it was designed to do from the start: Doesn’t anyone find it a bit odd that some large firms that have been very public in “not furloughing anyone” - and yet where have their former regular traffic and liveried vehicles gone to? - IF that firm hasn’t furloughed it’s workforce?
On the other hand, It is plenty busy enough in towns already huh?
Just some observations…
Call it “2020 Vision” if you like…