Carryfast:
While Putin stopped being in charge of events from the point of the order to move.He just signs the orders that his generals and Politburo give him to sign.
What generals/ The ones that looked mortified during the pre-invasion ‘‘council’’ with him? His chief spy was nervous like a 13 year old on a first date. It’s clear they’re all playing a script.
youtube.com/watch?v=o9A-u8EoWcI
I think it’s him running things but he is surrounded by yes-men (because the others tend to lose their jobs/heads) but I also think him getting removed from power (very difficult and unlikely in any event) isn’t going to change things a lot.
It’s a long thread let’s just say the Russians perceive themselves as very vulnerable from the west (geographically and you can easily see why, but also - historically) and their doctrine for the last, I don’t know, 100 years, has been that the only way to survive is to expand west as much as possible even if that means buffer states
I’m certain Putin is convinced and has probably convinced a large part of his population that further NATO expansion represents an existential threat to Russia (he said on multiple occasions that Ukraine is a red line - as is the Caucasus btw hence his war on Georgia 2008) so he’s willing to go out guns blazing at the slightest hint of failure. I think he once said, ‘‘why do you need a world without Russia?’’
On nukes I’m afraid if he does push the button it’s going to be directed at an European country, probably the one that shoots its mouth the loudest (we have a clear leader in this race at the moment) to make an example of not joking and US is going to respond by a strongly worded resolution and an emergency UN meeting the next morning to condemn Russia’s actions aka they’ll do f-all
Sanctions may have pushed him into a corner as he was probably expecting some kind of back-up bail out from China but that didn’t happen for whatever reasons or maybe not yet. I’m surprised the EU/UK is jumping up and down like an agitated rabbit even when they don’t have squat to put up against him in terms of actual strength. We may have all the money but he has all the nukes
Worst case scenario would be if the Russians are very close to completing hypersonic missiles capable of carrying nukes which is pretty much game over for NATO. Then it’s a matter of time before they can mass produce enough of those (hard under sanctions but it’s the Russians) to acquire what’s called decapitation capabilities aka they could launch enough to wipe out USA/EU before any retaliation would be possible or at least that’s the theory
Meanwhile keep arguing about gender issues, diversity and H&S. No one has ever said ‘‘man wouldn’t it be great if a nice big ol’ war was to break out?’’ but history is essentially a list of human wars
Here’s the interview (for a Russian gov’t run TV) youtube.com/watch?v=OV-Hf6II_p4
Later he signed a decree allowing RUssia to use nukes pretty much as he sees fit