ROG:
For those that like numbers
OFFICIAL Totals for UK to date (REALISTIC NUMBERS ARE HIGHER)
Cases Total 283,311
Deaths 40,261
Deaths 1M pop Population 593
1 Case every 240 people
1 Death every 1686 people
worldometers.info/coronavir … meAdvegas1 (scroll down to see info)
Looks like 1 in 7 that get the virus die from it …
ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulation … /5june2020
At any given time between 17 May and 30 May 2020, we estimated that an average of 0.10% of the community population had COVID-19 (95% confidence interval: 0.05% to 0.18%); this equates to an average of 53,000 people in England (95% confidence interval: 25,000 to 99,000).
This is sample size of over 19,000 and the positive tests are down from the previous 2 weeks estimates of those infected which was in the region of 160,000 to 400,000, but doesn’t include those in Care homes and Hospitals.
As of 24 May 2020, 6.78% (95% confidence interval: 5.21% to 8.64%) of individuals from whom blood samples were taken tested positive for antibodies to the coronavirus (COVID-19). This is based on blood test results from 885 individuals since the start of the study on 26 April 2020.
This means between 3.5m to 5.7m had recovered from the virus to produce antibodies, (although a sample size of under 900 does seem a bit small) that would give a CFR of between 1.2% to 0.7%, which seems to similar or a bit higher to data from other countries.
ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulation … g22may2020
To Week ending 22/05/20 43,837 people had Covid 19 on their death certificate in England and Wales, this was not always the only cause on the death certificate and not always confirmed by a test.
However if Covid 19 is mentioned anywhere on the death certificate the ONS records it as a Covid 19 death.
To the same period 41,094 Death in England and Wales were declared to be influenza and Pneumonia, this down by 8,381 over the 5 year average of 49,475 to the same point in the year and 2,892 from week 12 to Week 21, when Covid 19 death were highest.
Of all the Covid Death in England and Wales,
87% were over 70 who make up 13.5% of the population
7.3% were 60 to 69, 10.5% of the population
3.5% were 50 to 59, 13.5% of the population
1.89% were under 50, 62.4% of the population
england.nhs.uk/statistics/s … ly-deaths/
From NHS data 95% of those who died had a pre-existing condition.