Franglais:
Madness…
If the centre and right vote was split amongst 14 different moderate parties, and all the left wing vote went to the communists, would you be happy to see the left form a government?
Most Dutch didnt vote hard right. Wilders is already moderating his stance on many things but there doesn
t seem much appetite for other parties to get close to him.
With FPTP we in the UK can have, and have had govs* formed by parties that have a majority of seats, but actually won less of the popular vote.
In the US Trump was legally elected as President under their system although Clinton had over 2% more votes.
No system is perfect, but FPTP seems less satisfactory than PR, I reckon.
.
.
.
- 1974: Cons 297 seats from 37.9% of vote against Lab 301 seat from 37.2% of vote.
1951 Cons 321 from 48%, against Lab 295 from 48.8%.
[/quote]
Wilders isn’t going to be able to form a government, as he seems to have cornered the Right Wing vote, leaving little else other than Centerists, Liberals, Left of Center Eurocrats, and Far Left Communists/Nazis (National Socialists)
If he compromises in the way they want him to - he will achieve precisely zero of his policy rollouts.
Dilan has already refused to serve under his premiership, but expects him to work with HER as PM. She won’t hear of ANY of his rollouts of course, meaning the moment he joins any coalition of hers - he’s toast!
Omtzigt - apparently won’t support any of Wilders’ hardline policies at all.
Timmermans is a Socialist - so that’s a non-starter as well.
These main three “Runner Up” parties - are likely to form a coalition between them, leaving Wilders as opposition leader, which may well be the best thing for him until the next election, at which he can hope to gain further seats.
Wilders could in theory go for a “Church Coalition” of all the minority Christian Parties put together - but any wets among them, would surely bring such a fragile coalition down at the first hand-wringing hurdel like “We must be a broad church” blah blah blah - the usual tosh we hear when someone compromises their very soul away in the name of a coalition about as strong as a jam sandwich…
I reckon he’ll wait for the others then, and if they sense he’s letting them “go on ahead”, they might prolong the delay until the NEXT election as long as possible - by umming and ahhing about it until July next year, at which point we’ll be looking to the autocrats of the world stage - for a way out of the mess we’re all in by THAT Point (I predict…)