GE 2019

Winseer:
Corbyn, according to THIS website - is now 3-1 to be the next PM, Labour are 12-1 to win the most seats, and Labour are 33-1 to win an outright majority.
https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics
I’m buggered if I can see how Corbyn can be a shorter price to be PM than Labour are to “win the election” though■■?

I can’t see a situation where the result is something like Tories and Labour “tie” on 280, and the Tories reluctantly make Corbyn PM rather than go into coalition with Brexit Party - because they got zero seats, all thanks to their insistance that BP win “no seats, never ever”… Nice one Boris - if this apparently “too short price for Corbyn” is actually justified!!

…Of course, it could always be a “mug bet” designed to entrap the Labour betting crowd that don’t realize that Corbyn’s price should be at least the same as “Labour’s chance of winning a majority” - i.e. 33/1 against at this time… :open_mouth:

Chance of a Lab Majority or Minority administration combined obviously gives Corbyn more chance of being PM than just majority one. :bulb:

Maybe helped by LibDems voting tactically for Labour.Possibly even the reverse. :bulb:

Can you find a price for Raab losing his seat to LibDem or even Labour ? ( possible with tactical voting by the 60/40 Remain Con/Lab/LibDem vote and the collapse in his tactical anti development,Leave vote like me ).Bearing in mind the zb has sold the area out to the London development interests and helped Bozo to sell the country out to Juncker in the form of BRINO.

Like many other Leave voters I for one don’t give a zb any more if Corbyn gets in or not.For both reasons.

Carryfast:

Winseer:
Corbyn, according to THIS website - is now 3-1 to be the next PM, Labour are 12-1 to win the most seats, and Labour are 33-1 to win an outright majority.
https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics
I’m buggered if I can see how Corbyn can be a shorter price to be PM than Labour are to “win the election” though■■?

I can’t see a situation where the result is something like Tories and Labour “tie” on 280, and the Tories reluctantly make Corbyn PM rather than go into coalition with Brexit Party - because they got zero seats, all thanks to their insistance that BP win “no seats, never ever”… Nice one Boris - if this apparently “too short price for Corbyn” is actually justified!!

…Of course, it could always be a “mug bet” designed to entrap the Labour betting crowd that don’t realize that Corbyn’s price should be at least the same as “Labour’s chance of winning a majority” - i.e. 33/1 against at this time… :open_mouth:

Chance of a Lab Majority or Minority administration combined obviously gives Corbyn more chance of being PM than just majority one. :bulb: I agree in principal, but if you combine 33/1 and 12/1 you’d surely get an aggregate of around 9/1 rather than 3/1 I was thinking… Think if you put 50p on each rather than £1 on 3/1 - your return would be £17.00 for an outright majority, and £6.50 for a minority rather than £4 if you’d just lumped the entire quid on @ 3/1 odds…

Maybe helped by LibDems voting tactically for Labour.Possibly even the reverse. :bulb:
Bearing in mind that Swinson and the SNP have already outright refused to make Corbyn even “Interim PM” when they had the chance - I can’t see them doing any deals post- this election somehow.

Can you find a price for Raab losing his seat to LibDem or even Labour ? ( possible with tactical voting by the 60/40 Remain Con/Lab/LibDem vote and the collapse in his tactical anti development,Leave vote like me ).Bearing in mind the zb has sold the area out to the London development interests and helped Bozo to sell the country out to Juncker in the form of BRINO.
Raab would appear to be odds-on 1/4 to keep his seat according to this website, with the Libdems 4/1 (5.0 decimal) offered to take the seat off him
Betfair Exchange | Best Odds Online, Back and Lay Betting

Like many other Leave voters I for one don’t give a zb any more if Corbyn gets in or not.For both reasons.

I was going to vote Brexit Party on the basis that I’m “no longer afraid of Corbyn”.
Had Farage stood in all 600 seats like he originally said he would - BP would have indeed busted up the Tory party - but Labour as well, I suspect at the ratio of around 2 seats from Labour to every seat from the Tories. Had 600 candidates been stood - BP were as short as 16/1 at one point to “win a full majority”. Oh how easily Farage threw his open-ended straight flush draw away!!

In gambling terms, if my opponent has Ac-Ah-Ad-Kd-Qh and I have 5s-6s-7s-8s-Kc I’d put Mr 3 aces all-in every time, with a fair chance of beating him by drawing only one card…

Draw Any spade - and it beats him. Draw A ‘4’ or ‘9’ of any suit - and it beats him. there’s 9 spades in the deck, and 3 non-spade '4’s as well as 3 non-spade '9’s. That’s 15 cards from the 42 cards remaining in the deck, around 40% chance. That might seems like a dumb way to play “from behind” - but a gambler would take that card every time - because catching it would completely knacker the opponent for all their money. A regular player won’t hesitate to call with 3 aces, of course. A “Good” player - would consider throwing away 3 aces if put all in by an opponent though - in case they are up against a pat hand!

Farage - shouldn’t have been pushed off his own pot by Boris pleading “Please don’t tear the Tories limb from limb like you promised. Corbyn gets in if you do!”
Corbyn - isn’t snapping at Boris’ heals - but he stands to run a recovery from here, same as he ended up doing in 2017… Because of the Brexit voters turning back to Labour again!! ANOTHER great opportunity - missed. :imp:

You MUG Farage!! Corbyn is now HELPED by you siding openly with the Tories - because all those Labour Leave voters now WON’T be voting Brexit Party - because you’re just another Tory keeping Boris in power!! When you appeared to be Boris’ Enemy - you stood to gain twice as many seats from Labour wards as from Tory ones… But now you’ve gone and thrown the best chance you’ll ever have - away. Brexit Party to get Zero Seats is now even money. Brexit Party was 3/1 to get over FIFTY seats when Farage appeared to be the enemy of the Tories - just a few days ago.

No WONDER pollsters have Brexit Party now collapsing from 14-17% down to 6-7% now… DOH!! :angry:

No different from Corbyn in the run-up to the Referendum opting to side with Cameron’s REMAIN stance - when as leader of the opposition he should natrually chosen Leave to side with, thus shutting out Boris Johnson from the start, as he hadn’t declared his intent at that point… Right??

Winseer:

Carryfast:

Winseer:
Corbyn, according to THIS website - is now 3-1 to be the next PM, Labour are 12-1 to win the most seats, and Labour are 33-1 to win an outright majority.
https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics
I’m buggered if I can see how Corbyn can be a shorter price to be PM than Labour are to “win the election” though■■?

I can’t see a situation where the result is something like Tories and Labour “tie” on 280, and the Tories reluctantly make Corbyn PM rather than go into coalition with Brexit Party - because they got zero seats, all thanks to their insistance that BP win “no seats, never ever”… Nice one Boris - if this apparently “too short price for Corbyn” is actually justified!!

…Of course, it could always be a “mug bet” designed to entrap the Labour betting crowd that don’t realize that Corbyn’s price should be at least the same as “Labour’s chance of winning a majority” - i.e. 33/1 against at this time… :open_mouth:

Chance of a Lab Majority or Minority administration combined obviously gives Corbyn more chance of being PM than just majority one. :bulb: I agree in principal, but if you combine 33/1 and 12/1 you’d surely get an aggregate of around 9/1 rather than 3/1 I was thinking… Think if you put 50p on each rather than £1 on 3/1 - your return would be £17.00 for an outright majority, and £6.50 for a minority rather than £4 if you’d just lumped the entire quid on @ 3/1 odds…

Maybe helped by LibDems voting tactically for Labour.Possibly even the reverse. :bulb:
Bearing in mind that Swinson and the SNP have already outright refused to make Corbyn even “Interim PM” when they had the chance - I can’t see them doing any deals post- this election somehow.

Can you find a price for Raab losing his seat to LibDem or even Labour ? ( possible with tactical voting by the 60/40 Remain Con/Lab/LibDem vote and the collapse in his tactical anti development,Leave vote like me ).Bearing in mind the zb has sold the area out to the London development interests and helped Bozo to sell the country out to Juncker in the form of BRINO.
Raab would appear to be odds-on 1/4 to keep his seat according to this website, with the Libdems 4/1 (5.0 decimal) offered to take the seat off him
Betfair Exchange | Best Odds Online, Back and Lay Betting

Like many other Leave voters I for one don’t give a zb any more if Corbyn gets in or not.For both reasons.

I was going to vote Brexit Party on the basis that I’m “no longer afraid of Corbyn”.
Had Farage stood in all 600 seats like he originally said he would - BP would have indeed busted up the Tory party - but Labour as well, I suspect at the ratio of around 2 seats from Labour to every seat from the Tories. Had 600 candidates been stood - BP were as short as 16/1 at one point to “win a full majority”. Oh how easily Farage threw his open-ended straight flush draw away!!

In gambling terms, if my opponent has Ac-Ah-Ad-Kd-Qh and I have 5s-6s-7s-8s-Kc I’d put Mr 3 aces all-in every time, with a fair chance of beating him by drawing only one card…

Draw Any spade - and it beats him. Draw A ‘4’ or ‘9’ of any suit - and it beats him. there’s 9 spades in the deck, and 3 non-spade '4’s as well as 3 non-spade '9’s. That’s 15 cards from the 42 cards remaining in the deck, around 40% chance. That might seems like a dumb way to play “from behind” - but a gambler would take that card every time - because catching it would completely knacker the opponent for all their money. A regular player won’t hesitate to call with 3 aces, of course. A “Good” player - would consider throwing away 3 aces if put all in by an opponent though - in case they are up against a pat hand!

Farage - shouldn’t have been pushed off his own pot by Boris pleading “Please don’t tear the Tories limb from limb like you promised. Corbyn gets in if you do!”
Corbyn - isn’t snapping at Boris’ heals - but he stands to run a recovery from here, same as he ended up doing in 2017… Because of the Brexit voters turning back to Labour again!! ANOTHER great opportunity - missed. :imp:

You MUG Farage!! Corbyn is now HELPED by you siding openly with the Tories - because all those Labour Leave voters now WON’T be voting Brexit Party - because you’re just another Tory keeping Boris in power!! When you appeared to be Boris’ Enemy - you stood to gain twice as many seats from Labour wards as from Tory ones… But now you’ve gone and thrown the best chance you’ll ever have - away. Brexit Party to get Zero Seats is now even money. Brexit Party was 3/1 to get over FIFTY seats when Farage appeared to be the enemy of the Tories - just a few days ago.

No WONDER pollsters have Brexit Party now collapsing from 14-17% down to 6-7% now… DOH!! :angry:

No different from Corbyn in the run-up to the Referendum opting to side with Cameron’s REMAIN stance - when as leader of the opposition he should natrually chosen Leave to side with, thus shutting out Boris Johnson from the start, as he hadn’t declared his intent at that point… Right??

Firstly in the case of Raab’s constituency.In 2001 with a 62% turnout the Tories were 22,296,Labour was 10,758,and LibDems 10,241.
In 2005 with a similar turnout the Tory vote was 22,296,the LibDems were 10,758 and Labour 10,241.
In 2010 with a similar turnout the Tories were 21,882,the LibDems 14,155 and Labour 9,9309.In 2001 and 2005 I for one voted tactically for the Tories solely on Green Belt protection policy ultimately having been shown to be false.
In 2010 the turnout was around 72% and the Tories were 32,134,LibDems 13,541,and Labour 5,829.
In 2015 the turnout was similar the Tories were 35,845,Labour was 7,229,UKIP was 5,551,LibDems were 5,372.
In 2017 the turnout was similar the Tories were 35,071,Labour 11,773,LibDems 10,374.
Bearing in mind a 40% leave vote at a similar turnout as 2010-2017.
What if the turnout figure drops to 50%.While possibly some former UKIP and/or former tactical Leave Tory voters either boycott.Or even join LibDems,in voting tactically for Labour,just to spite the Tory zb’s. :bulb:

As for Farage he’s done exactly what his establishment handlers ordered him to do.Smash UKIP and act as controlled opposition up to the point of closing for the election.Leaving just the choice of BRINO to Revoke and voiding the Referendum result in the process.As it stands Corbyn to be PM in at least a minority government,propped up by LibDems and SNP,is quite likely if not a majority one.

If Raab loses his seat it would be no less than he and his rotten to the core Party deserves.I’m still undecided between Boycott or vote Labour in that regard but probably the former on principle of country before all else.On the basis that Surrey is probably lost as I know it and also possibly the country either way.But at least I haven’t helped any of these scumbags to do it.

Winseer said
‘‘You MUG Farage!! Corbyn is now HELPED by you siding openly with the Tories - because all those Labour Leave voters now WON’T be voting Brexit Party - because you’re just another Tory keeping Boris in power!! When you appeared to be Boris’ Enemy - you stood to gain twice as many seats from Labour wards as from Tory ones… But now you’ve gone and thrown the best chance you’ll ever have - away. Brexit Party to get Zero Seats is now even money. Brexit Party was 3/1 to get over FIFTY seats when Farage appeared to be the enemy of the Tories - just a few days ago.’’

I could not agree more, he ■■■■■■ the best chance we had of giving the establishment parties the rightful kicking they have earned over the past 30 years, all three would not have recovered and would have been changed forever, plus with Brexit party MP’s sitting, as most certainly would have happened, we had the best (only) chance of a real genuine Brexit.

Farage will never again be trusted in this way, changes his mind like the rest of us change ■■■■■■■.

Well, when Brexit doesn’t happen and May’s surrender treaty is dissected fully and the reality of the ultimate betrayal finally dawns on the public don’t be surprised if a party more nationalistic springs up, or resurfaces, and grabs the imagination support and votes of the 17 million betrayed, the current parties and their owners and their media propaganda chums will only have themselves, and Farage, to blame.
All they had to do was honour the referendum and leave the EU.

The next decade will be really interesting, we’ll see how ruthless the ruling regime will be if a new, or combined betrayed previous patriot parties with still loyal backers combine, rises and proves a threat to their new world plans, incredible suicides in the woods is a bit old hat now, so expect the Russians (other bogeymen are available) to feature highly in the blame game for when they start knocking off those who threaten their omnipotence.

…The moment the next economic downturn comes, totally unrelated to Brexit being done or not by that point - the truth will be laid bare that “Sorry bud, we’ve got no money, nor have not had any for some time now. We’re still giving it all to the EU”…

“Brexit in name only” (BRINO) means we didn’t really leave at all - just pretended to leave those institutions which the EU doesn’t get anything out of the UK being part of, such as “controlling our borders at our end” (always down to the UK to do at it’s own convenience) or the MEP payroll, which right now is mostly Farage’s Brexit Party of course. A thorn in the side of the wider EU that’ll be gone with Boris’ deal taking away our last influences in the EU, but long before any trade gets agreed (probably never, if we “pay whilst we wait”)

A hard Brexit - would have given us a cushion of around 1billion per month cushioned by the “war chest” money of whatever is left of Hammond’s squirrelled away £39billion “lump sum”.

It’s never too late to do that of course.
The EU cannot manage without the UK contribution to their budget plans.

There is some vestige of hope that Boris , or rather the ERG emboldened by a thumping Tory majority - might then turn on Boris’ deal, and pump for a No Deal Brexit at the 11th hour.

When you leave a Gym Membership - you doin’t want to keep on paying the fees - do you?

When you leave Sky - you want to sign up with another firm as soon as your account is released - don’t you?

So lean on them to “release your account”, rather than let yourself get “talked into staying” by arguments from the “thinking of leaving?” department such as “The other providers are at least as expensive as we are, and are not as big, thus providing a poorer service.”

I didn’t leave Virgin Media for that reason - it was because they gave over my personal details to an american law firm without my express consent.
VM is nothing but a money laundering front for the RIAA rather than what it is supposed to be - a communications firm.

“Media” - makes them a publisher. They should be taxed as such.

If I pick up my BT phone and moan at someone down the line - I don’t expect to be “in trouble with the law” for acting thus, especially if the buggers called ME to start with!.

I’m beyond words as to these arguments about “Why the UK cannot possibly make it’s own deals, especially with America” as if the Left owned the NHS.
Well if they want to truly own it - then why was it in crisis after 13 years of Labour rule?

Oh yes… It is because increasing the population by 25% in the meantime - means the NHS budget needed increasing by the same amount, and 25% more facilitites needed to get built.

Where did all the money go again?

Trump - wasn’t around before 2016, so we can’t blame “American Big Pharma” for stealing it all away, eh?

A big bit of power grabbed back from the EU on a “harder Brexit” - would be being able to crack down on criminal activities like never before, rather than be forced to spend millions on legal aid giving these toerags in the dock “yuman rights”.

Last week saw the two perps who killed Jodie Chesney get jailed for not even a full life term of 25 years each. They got 44 years between them.
Our jails are not filling up with knife criminals, because police cannot arrest “Blacks” without being accused of “Racism”. That doesn’t help the black VICTIM get justice though - does it?
We don’t give a toss if there is “Anti Semetism” in Labour or “Islamaphobia” in the Conservative Party - do we…? Really, I mean…

We just want peace and quiet in our lives, a fair days work for a fair day’s pay, and lowering costs for the cost of living as time goes on.

When was the last time we got any degree of those things though?
Both main parties promise to “waste more money” throwing it at things that are already broken.

That’s not much of a promise to vote and hope for then. :frowning:

Juddian:
Winseer said
‘‘You MUG Farage!! Corbyn is now HELPED by you siding openly with the Tories - because all those Labour Leave voters now WON’T be voting Brexit Party - because you’re just another Tory keeping Boris in power!! When you appeared to be Boris’ Enemy - you stood to gain twice as many seats from Labour wards as from Tory ones… But now you’ve gone and thrown the best chance you’ll ever have - away. Brexit Party to get Zero Seats is now even money. Brexit Party was 3/1 to get over FIFTY seats when Farage appeared to be the enemy of the Tories - just a few days ago.’’

I could not agree more, he ■■■■■■ the best chance we had of giving the establishment parties the rightful kicking they have earned over the past 30 years, all three would not have recovered and would have been changed forever, plus with Brexit party MP’s sitting, as most certainly would have happened, we had the best (only) chance of a real genuine Brexit.

Farage will never again be trusted in this way, changes his mind like the rest of us change ■■■■■■■.

Well, when Brexit doesn’t happen and May’s surrender treaty is dissected fully and the reality of the ultimate betrayal finally dawns on the public don’t be surprised if a party more nationalistic springs up, or resurfaces, and grabs the imagination support and votes of the 17 million betrayed, the current parties and their owners and their media propaganda chums will only have themselves, and Farage, to blame.
All they had to do was honour the referendum and leave the EU.

The next decade will be really interesting, we’ll see how ruthless the ruling regime will be if a new, or combined betrayed previous patriot parties with still loyal backers combine, rises and proves a threat to their new world plans, incredible suicides in the woods is a bit old hat now, so expect the Russians (other bogeymen are available) to feature highly in the blame game for when they start knocking off those who threaten their omnipotence.

It’s clear that Farage always intended it to go this way from at least the point when he said trust May and trashed Batten and UKIP.If he was the real deal he would have stood shoulder to shoulder with Batten in building UKIP as the established force which it was before this obvious sell out to the LabLibDemCon establishment.

Carryfast:

Juddian:
Winseer said
‘‘You MUG Farage!! Corbyn is now HELPED by you siding openly with the Tories - because all those Labour Leave voters now WON’T be voting Brexit Party - because you’re just another Tory keeping Boris in power!! When you appeared to be Boris’ Enemy - you stood to gain twice as many seats from Labour wards as from Tory ones… But now you’ve gone and thrown the best chance you’ll ever have - away. Brexit Party to get Zero Seats is now even money. Brexit Party was 3/1 to get over FIFTY seats when Farage appeared to be the enemy of the Tories - just a few days ago.’’

I could not agree more, he ■■■■■■ the best chance we had of giving the establishment parties the rightful kicking they have earned over the past 30 years, all three would not have recovered and would have been changed forever, plus with Brexit party MP’s sitting, as most certainly would have happened, we had the best (only) chance of a real genuine Brexit.

Farage will never again be trusted in this way, changes his mind like the rest of us change ■■■■■■■.

Well, when Brexit doesn’t happen and May’s surrender treaty is dissected fully and the reality of the ultimate betrayal finally dawns on the public don’t be surprised if a party more nationalistic springs up, or resurfaces, and grabs the imagination support and votes of the 17 million betrayed, the current parties and their owners and their media propaganda chums will only have themselves, and Farage, to blame.
All they had to do was honour the referendum and leave the EU.

The next decade will be really interesting, we’ll see how ruthless the ruling regime will be if a new, or combined betrayed previous patriot parties with still loyal backers combine, rises and proves a threat to their new world plans, incredible suicides in the woods is a bit old hat now, so expect the Russians (other bogeymen are available) to feature highly in the blame game for when they start knocking off those who threaten their omnipotence.

It’s clear that Farage always intended it to go this way from at least the point when he said trust May and trashed Batten and UKIP.If he was the real deal he would have stood shoulder to shoulder with Batten in building UKIP as the established force which it was before this obvious sell out to the LabLibDemCon establishment.

It makes Farage look as much like “The EU’s last line of defence” as it does Boris Johnson right now.

We seem to need a bit of “extremeism” to get by in the world today. The right to crack down harshly on those that would hurt us - at very least.
Be that from a perceived “Police State” of the Far Right or “Totalitarian Secret Police” of the Far Left.
I’d rather have the police busting actual criminals (murderers, muggers, burglars) chucking them into jail, and throwing away the key - than the type of police that’ll lock you up for “mean tweets”, “upsetting snowflakes”, and “excercising free speech in a built-up area”.

There’s a Left and Right version of “Policing” then - just as much as there was always a Left and Right version of Brexit.
I suspect even now that Corbyn was rather hoping that the Tories would deliver a magic-money tree delivering Hard Brexit - and then promptly get busted from power, before they had the chance to re-distribute all that (by that point) piling up cash back here in Blighty.

It is a shame that neither Labour nor Tory can embrace the “cut the foreign aid budget” another one of Farage’s outstanding policies that was kept on by Batten’s UKIP.
Beats me why we still throw cash at outfits like Oxfam, with little or nothing done to crack down on “kiddie prostitution” in the third world “Laid for Aid” policies in the field, or even “Round up, and Orphanage in a Epstein-style ■■■■■■ Services Economy” once in the West, with nowhere to go once here.

It isn’t so much “Over-population” that is wrong with the world. It’s just the sheer outbalanced numbers of unskilled, military age males that are not prepared to fight for their own country, but expect to be welcomed into a new land where they won’t be asked for anything, but expect all the trimmings in return for doing that big pile of nothing. :unamused:

A “Left” version of Brexit then - could have got past people like me - in that it would include the Brexit Dividend (automatic PASS as far as I’m concerned) but didn’t deliver the crackdown on Immigration - which I find of secondary interest, and could negotiate away.

“More of everything for everyone, including Migrants” - would have been a fair place to settle for then.

SO… Why NO interest in this “Left” version of Brexit then?

We’ve got Corbyn -pretending he doesn’t want Brexit, Boris Johnson pretending he wants to deliver Brexit, and Jo Swinson thinking that we’ll be financially better off with a CANCELLED Brexit, obviously not realizing that “staying in” is costing us an ongoing fortune as it does.

Perhaps now would be a good time to bust out the Libdems AND the SNP - concentrating on the two main parties…?

What if this election result ends up being something like a small majority for the Cons, but a surge in support falling short (obviously) for Labour, keeping Corbyn on as Leader as it would?

Conservatives: 328 seats (+11)
Labour: 287 seats (+25)
Libdems: 3 seats (-9)
SNP: 12 seats (-22)
Green: 0 seats (-1)
Plaid Cymru 0 seats (-4)
Brexit Party 0 seats (No Change)
DUP: 7 seats (-3)
Sinn Fein 10 seats (+3)
Others No change

This, to me - is the worst case scenario outcome. Every time Boris tries to Lurch Right - his Remainers and Wets will STOP him. There will be over 100 of the buggers who have just had their collective arses pulled out of the fire by Boris “please don’t vote us out, or we’ll get Corbyn” rhetoric.

Quite frankly, I’d prefer it a Labour win by the same small margin (flip the cons and Lab in these figures here) - which would see Corbyn’s opening budget of mayhem - voted down by Parliament, and a strong-armed Tory Opposition, bristling with a more effective ERG in THAT position, I suspect.

Tories that “can’t get things done” - are totally useless. “Pain without Reward”.
Labour that “can’t get any harm done” - are at least benign. “No Pain, but hopefully some rewards we cannot afford as a country - given to us anyways.” That used to be called inflation btw. It harms the Banks and the domestic wealthy the most - something I can live with actually. :smiling_imp:

Winseer:
“No Pain, but hopefully some rewards we cannot afford as a country - given to us anyways.” That used to be called inflation btw. It harms the Banks and the domestic wealthy the most - something I can live with actually. :smiling_imp:

But you also said you admire Healey and we know what his reaction to inflation was.We’ve been there done that got the T shirt in the 1970’s.

Although my bet is that what you’re really describing is ‘wealth redistribution’.Which just thieves capital and property from the so called ‘wealthy’ working class to pay for the wealth creation of others.Because we just know that you’re not limiting your scheme to multi millionaires because there isn’t enough of em.While you’re also obviously going to have to impose a system of capital and property taxation and a laughable level of negative interest rates to make it work.Because ‘inflation’ means that the value of money reduces not the value of assets and capital.On that note you’re obviously all for late 1970’s inflation in the false hope of it providing something for nothing but you’re probably not hoping for the 7% savings interest rates which went with it.

Good luck with going for that type of Machiavellian Tory agenda,of using the assets and capital of the working class,to subsidise the wage costs of the employer classes for others.Although Corbyn’s useful idiot Bolsheviks would probably be stupid enough to buy it.Until their parents and/or later themselves are taxed out of their houses and thieved out of their retirement funds etc to subsidise the lifestyles of the more deserving Party faithful. :open_mouth:

Carryfast:
Because ‘inflation’ means that the value of money reduces not the value of assets and capital.

That depends on whether the assets and capital are physical, or whether they are money claims.

The bank who lends a mortgage for example, will register that as an asset, but the mortgage is a money claim against the debtor, it is not a physical asset.

The vast majority of assets in the economy are money claims.

Who gains and loses from inflation, other than existing creditors generally losing (which can be useful for an economy if existing claims have become a deadweight), is almost always a question of who can bargain up new claims and who cannot.

Workers can lose out with inflation if their wages stay static but their rents increase. On the other hand, they can gain handsomely if they bargain their wages up whilst their rents are inflated away.

Rjan:

Carryfast:
Because ‘inflation’ means that the value of money reduces not the value of assets and capital.

That depends on whether the assets and capital are physical, or whether they are money claims.

The bank who lends a mortgage for example, will register that as an asset, but the mortgage is a money claim against the debtor, it is not a physical asset.

The vast majority of assets in the economy are money claims.

Who gains and loses from inflation, other than existing creditors generally losing (which can be useful for an economy if existing claims have become a deadweight), is almost always a question of who can bargain up new claims and who cannot.

Workers can lose out with inflation if their wages stay static but their rents increase. On the other hand, they can gain handsomely if they bargain their wages up whilst their rents are inflated away.

No one loses from inflation.Unless ‘someone’ ( like the government and bankers and employers ( or thieving Bolsheviks ) uses it to effectively thieve the wages,assets and capital of savers,home owners and wage earners in the form of negative interest rates,house price increase taxation or limits,or below inflation 'wage restraint.

In Winseer’s/Your case that obviously translates as a selectively applied hold on certain prices like housing costs/values so that you can use the loss of currency values to effectively thieve assets and capital of your chosen victims.So what you’re saying is tell the Landlord that he isn’t allowed to increase rents in line with that loss of monetry value in the rental income.But you expect wages to be immune.Just as the employer classes did the reverse by thieving the wages of the workers.It’s theft however you look at it.What could possibly go wrong.

Carryfast:

Winseer:
“No Pain, but hopefully some rewards we cannot afford as a country - given to us anyways.” That used to be called inflation btw. It harms the Banks and the domestic wealthy the most - something I can live with actually. :smiling_imp:

But you also said you admire Healey and we know what his reaction to inflation was.We’ve been there done that got the T shirt in the 1970’s.
Indeed I did. It was his party that wouldn’t allow him to make broader anti-inflationary strokes whilst he was Chancellor though. Didn’t he end up “asking” unions for “Pay restraint” when Inflation was riding over 20% at the time? He would have done better embarking on a regular devaluation each year - exactly the same as the average pay rise in the public sector, thus assuring that the public sector workers NEVER fell behind inflation AND the private sector - tried a lot harder to keep their end up - by improving conditions rather than just raw pay to tempt workers away from the public sector…

Although my bet is that what you’re really describing is ‘wealth redistribution’.Which just thieves capital and property from the so called ‘wealthy’ working class to pay for the wealth creation of others.Because we just know that you’re not limiting your scheme to multi millionaires because there isn’t enough of em.While you’re also obviously going to have to impose a system of capital and property taxation and a laughable level of negative interest rates to make it work.Because ‘inflation’ means that the value of money reduces not the value of assets and capital.On that note you’re obviously all for late 1970’s inflation in the false hope of it providing something for nothing but you’re probably not hoping for the 7% savings interest rates which went with it.

Good luck with going for that type of Machiavellian Tory agenda,of using the assets and capital of the working class,to subsidise the wage costs of the employer classes for others.Although Corbyn’s useful idiot Bolsheviks would probably be stupid enough to buy it.Until their parents and/or later themselves are taxed out of their houses and thieved out of their retirement funds etc to subsidise the lifestyles of the more deserving Party faithful. :open_mouth:

I’ve always believed that the best way to encourage a bit more than “trickle down” economics - one needs to encourage those WITH capital sums to “return as much to the economy as possible”. This, funnily enough - should never have been so easy as it is RIGHT NOW however, but as we’ve seen - low interest rates, even Negative ones - doesn’t put people off from simply burying their assets in a hole in the ground, rather than actually “putting their money to work” in the economy. “Putting something back”…

Winseer:

Carryfast:
Good luck with going for that type of Machiavellian Tory agenda,of using the assets and capital of the working class,to subsidise the wage costs of the employer classes for others.Although Corbyn’s useful idiot Bolsheviks would probably be stupid enough to buy it.Until their parents and/or later themselves are taxed out of their houses and thieved out of their retirement funds etc to subsidise the lifestyles of the more deserving Party faithful. :open_mouth:

I’ve always believed that the best way to encourage a bit more than “trickle down” economics - one needs to encourage those WITH capital sums to “return as much to the economy as possible”. This, funnily enough - should never have been so easy as it is RIGHT NOW however, but as we’ve seen - low interest rates, even Negative ones - doesn’t put people off from simply burying their assets in a hole in the ground, rather than actually “putting their money to work” in the economy. “Putting something back”…

It’s clear that what you mean is ‘giving’ it to someone else or someone else thieving it.No one with any sense is going to put their hard earned cash into any scheme which says they might get back less than they put in because someone else has thieved it.Hence burying it in the ground being ripped off less badly in the form of negative interests rates.So your plan is obviously even more negative interest rates.To rip off working class savers as opposed to below inflation wage increases to rip them off before they’ve earned it.As for housing costs let me guess you also intend to go for selectively applied below inflation rent and house price limits.It’s all theft dressed up as either ‘wealth redistribution’,or profits for the wealthy however you look at it.While it’s then just a slippery slope into anarchy from that point.

Carryfast:

Winseer:

Carryfast:
Good luck with going for that type of Machiavellian Tory agenda,of using the assets and capital of the working class,to subsidise the wage costs of the employer classes for others.Although Corbyn’s useful idiot Bolsheviks would probably be stupid enough to buy it.Until their parents and/or later themselves are taxed out of their houses and thieved out of their retirement funds etc to subsidise the lifestyles of the more deserving Party faithful. :open_mouth:

I’ve always believed that the best way to encourage a bit more than “trickle down” economics - one needs to encourage those WITH capital sums to “return as much to the economy as possible”. This, funnily enough - should never have been so easy as it is RIGHT NOW however, but as we’ve seen - low interest rates, even Negative ones - doesn’t put people off from simply burying their assets in a hole in the ground, rather than actually “putting their money to work” in the economy. “Putting something back”…

It’s clear that what you mean is ‘giving’ it to someone else or someone else thieving it.No one with any sense is going to put their hard earned cash into any scheme which says they might get back less than they put in because someone else has thieved it.Hence burying it in the ground being ripped off less badly in the form of negative interests rates.So your plan is obviously even more negative interest rates.To rip off working class savers as opposed to below inflation wage increases to rip them off before they’ve earned it.As for housing costs let me guess you also intend to go for selectively applied below inflation rent and house price limits.It’s all theft dressed up as either ‘wealth redistribution’,or profits for the wealthy however you look at it.While it’s then just a slippery slope into anarchy from that point.

Nope, “Negative interest rates” have clearly failed to motivate people into spending their hoards of cash.
Germany - have experience a similar “failing of the financial system”, which hasn’t been helped there by Germany’s massive surpluses STILL not being spent by the so-called Center Right CDU under the years of Merkel it has experienced at the helm already.

I would solve this double problem of “failing to motivate savers to invest and speculate” coupled with “wealthy people with decent-sized cashpots - getting out of paying taxes” by simply CANCELLING tax offsetting outright, and combining it with a small across-the-board PAYE tax cut so that everyone who’s already paying full taxes - ends up better off, and no one then prevents the tax reforms from going through.

Why SHOULD someone like an MP get to claim for everything between Fitted Kitchens and Rail Season tickets - whilst those of us who actually work in the transport sector - can’t claim any such thing?? :imp:

Winseer:
Nope, “Negative interest rates” have clearly failed to motivate people into spending their hoards of cash.
Germany - have experience a similar “failing of the financial system”, which hasn’t been helped there by Germany’s massive surpluses STILL not being spent by the so-called Center Right CDU under the years of Merkel it has experienced at the helm already.

I would solve this double problem of “failing to motivate savers to invest and speculate” coupled with “wealthy people with decent-sized cashpots - getting out of paying taxes” by simply CANCELLING tax offsetting outright, and combining it with a small across-the-board PAYE tax cut so that everyone who’s already paying full taxes - ends up better off, and no one then prevents the tax reforms from going through.

Why SHOULD someone like an MP get to claim for everything between Fitted Kitchens and Rail Season tickets - whilst those of us who actually work in the transport sector - can’t claim any such thing?? :imp:

Negative interest rates are just another form of selectively applied ‘inflation’ meant to subsidise borrowers at the expense of savers.Just as your idea can’t work unless you impose selectively applied inflation with the intention of subsidising one sector of the economy at the expense of another.Just like Healey imposed wage restraint while allowing prices free reign.That was just a case of using inflation to write down wage costs for employers at the expense of employees.Basically if it’s selectively applied inflation for some not others that’s theft in all but name.

As for Regressive taxation v income tax ironically Labour has never rebalanced the tax system on those lines.If it had it would have abolished purchase taxes,road fuel duty and rates/council tax.All of which being regressive types of taxation.Don’t see Corbyn calling for any of that just as Healey or Brown didn’t.

Since Possession is nine-tenths of the law at all times, there needs to be some kind of taxation where the asset doesn’t become yours to START with - unless you toe the line, and cough up.

Taxing assets in hand - has always been politically different. The wealthy simply move on, taking their money with them.

Taxing incomes and nothing else though? If you “move on” - then you also lose the income source that would require one to pay that tax…

It is clearly wrong then that Benefits are not taxed. Nothing keeps people in the same place like “living off the state”. once “taxually immobilized” in this way - what’s wrong with benefit claimants paying stamp and income taxes in the normal way, so that people who get less than £12,500 per year STILL pay no taxes for being “below the threshold” - but those getting the more lucrative benefits - pay their way like everyone else?

Because that benefit claimant is already paying tax - there is less disincentive to carry on being “workshy” - not now that you’re already paying taxes, so won’t refuse a job on account of “being made to pay them when you were not beforehand”…

If we are to keep the NHS “free at the point of sale” - then EVERYONE needs to chip in to pay for it.

Taxing Benefits - also hammers the underground economy as well of course, as it is less easy to “disappear off the radar”.
Woe betide people ON benefits who’ve over-borrowed - and then try to “run away”, not realizing that their benefit money trail - snags onto them like a limpet wherever they go…

Winseer:
Taxing assets in hand - has always been politically different. The wealthy simply move on, taking their money with them.

In fact it has never really been the case in Britain that the wealthy move on, although it is constantly threatened.

Even when the Rolling Stones and others made a spectacle of leaving in the 70s, the reality is no less music was produced, music was no less accessible to British people, and their record sales here were still taxed.

And such creative artists are not the “wealthy” in the traditional sense.

Winseer:
Since Possession is nine-tenths of the law at all times, there needs to be some kind of taxation where the asset doesn’t become yours to START with - unless you toe the line, and cough up.

Taxing assets in hand - has always been politically different. The wealthy simply move on, taking their money with them.

Taxing incomes and nothing else though? If you “move on” - then you also lose the income source that would require one to pay that tax…

It is clearly wrong then that Benefits are not taxed. Nothing keeps people in the same place like “living off the state”. once “taxually immobilized” in this way - what’s wrong with benefit claimants paying stamp and income taxes in the normal way, so that people who get less than £12,500 per year STILL pay no taxes for being “below the threshold” - but those getting the more lucrative benefits - pay their way like everyone else?

Because that benefit claimant is already paying tax - there is less disincentive to carry on being “workshy” - not now that you’re already paying taxes, so won’t refuse a job on account of “being made to pay them when you were not beforehand”…

If we are to keep the NHS “free at the point of sale” - then EVERYONE needs to chip in to pay for it.

Taxing Benefits - also hammers the underground economy as well of course, as it is less easy to “disappear off the radar”.
Woe betide people ON benefits who’ve over-borrowed - and then try to “run away”, not realizing that their benefit money trail - snags onto them like a limpet wherever they go…

How the zb do you tax someone’s unemployment or incapacity ‘benefits’ when those benefits don’t even reach anywhere near their tax allowance.You know the same tax allowance that everyone else has.Let me guess you want a double standards taxation regime between employed v non employed.

Yes I get it you’re a mixture of Tory and Bolshevik as it suits you.You’re in work so you want to keep all your wages and not pay any taxes.You want anyone with property to be forced to effectively give it to you in the form of below inflation price limits.Assuming they don’t sell then you’ll force them to sell by hitting them with a property tax of more than that which you’re prepared to pay them.You want the National income protection insurance system and pensions system closed down but obviously not for yourself and you don’t want to re imburse all previous contributors for their lost cover in that regard.You’re avin a larf.

Income tax and corporation tax is the right tax if you’re earning it then you can pay it.Every other form of regressive tax is just a type of theft like all your other economic ideas.

Having done some serious online research this Sunday, I think we need to go back to more traditional views.

One party stands out as having an advantage over the others IMHO. Its (late) finance minister, spoke highly* of its self knowledge.

It isnt afraid to stand even where it has little chance of winning. Although in 2019, Brecon & Radnorshire it beat UKIP. Their official web site seems hopeful that some of their candidates may even retain their deposits this time around. Looking at the other candidates I think thats very likely!

It has earlier called for policies that were later taken up, and brought into law, by others: Abolition of dog licences, 24hr pub openings, passports for pets. Other policies haven`t yet been adopted: the 99p coin for instance, such a good idea too, look at how many items are x-pounds and 99-pence!

Time for Great British traditional values to rise again! Vote, Yellow!
Vote, Monster Raving Loony Party !

*Sir Patrick Moore “[they] had an advantage over all the other parties, in that they knew they were loonies”

I should state, I`m not actually an active member of this party, but am tempted…

Carryfast:

Winseer:

Carryfast:
Good luck with going for that type of Machiavellian Tory agenda,of using the assets and capital of the working class,to subsidise the wage costs of the employer classes for others.Although Corbyn’s useful idiot Bolsheviks would probably be stupid enough to buy it.Until their parents and/or later themselves are taxed out of their houses and thieved out of their retirement funds etc to subsidise the lifestyles of the more deserving Party faithful. :open_mouth:

I’ve always believed that the best way to encourage a bit more than “trickle down” economics - one needs to encourage those WITH capital sums to “return as much to the economy as possible”. This, funnily enough - should never have been so easy as it is RIGHT NOW however, but as we’ve seen - low interest rates, even Negative ones - doesn’t put people off from simply burying their assets in a hole in the ground, rather than actually “putting their money to work” in the economy. “Putting something back”…

It’s clear that what you mean is ‘giving’ it to someone else or someone else thieving it.No one with any sense is going to put their hard earned cash into any scheme which says they might get back less than they put in because someone else has thieved it.Hence burying it in the ground being ripped off less badly in the form of negative interests rates.So your plan is obviously even more negative interest rates.To rip off working class savers as opposed to below inflation wage increases to rip them off before they’ve earned it.As for housing costs let me guess you also intend to go for selectively applied below inflation rent and house price limits.It’s all theft dressed up as either ‘wealth redistribution’,or profits for the wealthy however you look at it.While it’s then just a slippery slope into anarchy from that point.

Nope. You’ve got me wrong.
The reason I’m only socialist on finance, and right wing on other stuff - is because people with the cash should be encouraged to do good things WITH it - whilst it is still theres.
It defeats the object if one “robs the rich to pay for the poor” which ends up “making one extra poor person” and “no extra rich ones”.

I’ve always believed that the general population are rather avaricious when it comes to “financial ambition”.

Do poor people who get offered a golden opportunity to enrich themselves or “get on” as it might be called - turn such offers down because their peer group would not approve?

Imagine a scenario where a driver wants to work for one firm in the next town say, that pays £10ph for a 48 hour week - compared to another firm in YOUR town that pays £11ph for a 48 hour week, but you don’t want to work there because the “gaffer votes Conservative” say…

A lot of poor people in life CHOOSE to STAY poor because of so-called “principals” such as I’ve described there.
In a proper market - there should be a price at which ANYONE participating will trade at, should that price be met.

The actual “trading bit” of the market - the prices at which actual stuff changes hands, business is done, etc. - is better known as “price discovery” and I’ve long objected to Capitalism BECAUSE it has NEVER been allowed to work as it should on the Jobs Market of this country.

If there is a shortage of Blue Collar Labour - then the CORRECT thing for the capitalist to do - is offer more money straight out the gate, but specify that a “higher standard” is expected from would-be recruits. Instead, worker rates are encouraged to stagnate by flooding the market with extra people that’ll “take the lower rate” - thus denying that central pillar of Capitalism - “Price Discovery”. We have a distored jobs market because of this. In the HOUSING market - we have a distorted market because of a wrongly-overlapping benefit system that should not be extending to “accommodation” beyond Council Housing. Whoever came up with the idea of “housing benefits that end up going to private landlords” - needs to be taken out and shot!!

In internation trade - we have a distorted market, because we get manipulated into buying overpriced stuff from the EU as it stands, with lies being told to “put us off” getting that stuff from further afield. In a free market, everything has to come up to a minimum standard, or we wouldn’t countenence buying it. We have no problems buying Chinese Tat though, so how come people are so easily put-off buying American (SOUTH as well as North) stuff “because it is of questionable quality” we get told??

We shouldn’t have to buy Oranges from Seville instead of from Florida, or Coffee from Turkey rather than Brazil, nor Insurances from America instead of London, nor Natural Gas from Russia “via Germany” instead of “Via Russia”… This market distortion - is one of the major things that a No Deal (or WTO) Brexit would overturn, and set the balances straight on.

If people really “don’t want to buy North American” because of “Trump” - then f— 'em. This sounds too much like a Robespierre attitude, trying to shake off our biggest ally - to replace them with WHAT? Wannabe Superpower EU at our expense? F-- that!
If people really “don’t want to buy Brazillian Coffee” because of Bolsenaro - then f— 'em. Coffee is at historic low prices, and yet we’re opting to buy it from a more expense source “because we don’t want to buy it cheaper from the right winger’s country”. F— that! I want more money, lower costs of living, and more leisure time. THere is NOTHING on the left of politics that does anything but BLOCK access to the very same. THIS is why I’m only a Lefty on finance - and never ever on politics.

I won’t be “hating Boris Johnson” if he wins this election.
I won’t be “hating Corbyn” neither.

I judge people by what they do, and get done. NOT “intend” or “mention”.

I can’t see any upside from what Swinson is talking about, nor what Corbyn talks about, scrambling hard to keep Remainers on board.
It would have been so easy for ANY political leader to DROP the bulls hit about “Wanting to unite the country” - when what needs to happen is the 52% get their way 100%, and the Remainers have the choice of picking up the pieces, and living with it - OR shortening their lives by trying to overturn a fait accompli by that point.
Brexit - would have been so much easier had it been done like “taking a plaster off” from the very beginning.
“Short, Sharp Shock” for the Remainers - and then we ALL move on, with Remainers voting against Pro Brexit Incumbents for years to come, but not enough to beat them in an election.

THAT is where this coming election is heading:

Tories+Brexit Party - 52% of the vote.
Libdems+Labour+Greens+SNP+Plaid - 48% of the vote.

If that translates into actual SEATS this time around, where it didn’t in the past - then we’ve got the election result we NEED to move on.

Libdem - 0 seats.
SNP - 4 seats
Greens - 0 seats.
Plaid - 0 seats.
Labour - 260-270 seats.
Conservatives - 320-330 seats.
Brexit Party - 42 seats
Others - the rest.

Such a result would Stop Boris Johnson doing is crappy deal, Stop five different parties at Westminster “ganging up” on an incumbent government, when there should only ever be one party of opposition.

If Brexit Party instead, end up on “too few seats to form a coalition” - then the ERG will reluctantly let Boris Johnson’s crappy deal go through. There’s no other future for them.
On the other hand… should the Conservatives advance in seats - but fall short of a full majority with Brexit Party holding enough seats to get them over the line?
The ERG could vote AGAINST Boris’ deal in the upcoming “meaningful vote” - and then put No Deal well and truly back on the table, knowing that it would get total support from the new bloc of Brexit Party MPs Sans-Farage, along with the Brexit party MEPS - WITH Farage to fight the corner getting a No Deal done, complete with putting the closing stages of Yellowhammer under Gove into position to have everything done and dusted by January 31st.

The EU won’t like it. Remainers will utterly HATE it.

Brexiteers though?

As someone who wanted to vote Brexit Party but now cannot - I will be pressurizing the safe seat Remain-voting MP I have to “get behind the PM” which includes “supporting him on No Deal” if and when it comes down to that.

We cannot actually afford to do Boris Johnson’s deal, as it incorporates all the disruption and downsides - not to mention economic damage, upheaval, and expenses along the way - whilst waiting for this “deal that might never come” known as the Free Trade Arrangement" at the end of this “forever extendable transition period”.

Any Brexit that doesn’t turn off the cashflows to Brussels - never happens. It is just too lucrative for the EU to keep tricking us into “Booting it down the road” all the time.
Each day wasted = more contributions made. Rinse and repeat, ad nauseum.

I want to see a Parliament able to FORCE Boris Johnson into doing a WTO “no more cash to Brussels” Brexit then.

A deep recession awaits around the corner - that only the acquired Brexit Dividend can possibly mitigate.

Boris could spend a decent wedge of the Brexit Dividend on “propping up the home economy” for example.

It should NEVER have been about “give it all to the NHS”…
The whole economy needs that money.