Current starting bases are:
Senate
Republicans: 51 Democrats: 49
House of Representatives
Republicans: 235 Democrats: 193 Vacant: 7
There seems to be this huge expectation that Trump will be getting his arse kicked tonight.
I can’t see it in those numbers above though.
If anything, I am expecting an imminent “Red Wave”, as the Republicans would seem to only need to “tread water” to send the Democrats into the night with more than just a bloody nose this time around…
I’ve put a fiver on “no majority” simply because @ 66-1 - it seems like a value punt for me, a guy that has a lot of fivers on rank outsider prices all year round.
I’ve also got a fiver on (any of) Wisconsin, Pensilvania, West Virgina, and Ohio to boot their Democrat incumbent Senator.
At the UK election last year, there was this expectation beforehand that Corbyn would lose 50-100 seats.
The price for Corbyn to win between 250 and 299 seats for Labour was 40-1, so I had a tenner on that as another “value bet” - and cleaned up a week’s wages into the bargain.
“If your opinion differs from most people, you can make some easy money out of it - providing your opinion is both correct (to get paid) and “not shared by many others” (to get the big price)”
Anyone else got any thoughts regarding this different from usual election tonight?
The early signs are that “Turnout is HUGE” btw.
No results in as I write this…