Where will our transport industry be at the end of this financial year, what with Brexit due less than a week earlier on March 29th 2019?
I invite the political pundits among you all to propose and speculate the answers to the following black and white questions.
ALL questions refer to what the UK state of play will be on April 1st 2019.
(1) Who will be Prime Minister?
(2) Will Brexit be done by 29th March?
(3) Name some front bench MPs that will have resigned by that point
(4) Where will the Pound be at on the financial exchanges (To the Euro and/or USD)
(5) Will a meaningful vote have taken place by this date?
(6) Which UK-based Haulier will be doing the Best between now and 1st April?
(7) Which anywhere-based Haulier will have gone bust by 1st April?
(8) Will agency going rates reach beyond 2x minimum wage by 1st April? If so, at which client firms?
(9) Will any parliamentary seats have changed hands by 1st April 2019? (anyone resigning, will presumably be in safe seats for that party, so it is a long shot to call any such seats…)
and finally
(10) Will the EU have broken a major UK law by 1st April - or the other way around? by “Major Law” - I mean where a custodial sentence would be levvied upon offending suited person or persons involved…
I’ll start off with my own predictions:
(1) Theresa May will still be PM.
(2) A Hard Brexit will be backdoored by the PM much to the consternation of the majority of parliament.
(3) Keir Starmer will resign, so he can take a pop at Corbyn’s job. Vince Cable will step down as leader of the Libdems and resign his seat. He (Keir Starmer) might actually succeed in becoming leader of the Labour Party of course, in which case he isn’t going anywhere.
(4) The Pound, will dip on March 29th to $1.15 before rallying to close the day back where it started at $1.30. In the days that follow, a short squeeze will force the pound up beyond $1.50, back where it was the day before Leave won the referendum in 2016.
(5) NO meaningful vote will have taken place, because May is bulletproof for another year, thanks to winning a vote of no confidence that cannot be tabled for a second time in 2019 without her express permission, which she won’t give. Any attempt to suspend the Fixed Term Parliaments Act to force an early election, will also fail - because the Tories will vote against it, and a two-thirds majority of the house is needed.
(6) The UK Hauler doing the best - will be John Lewis imo. They are heavily preparing for a sudden, if not hard Brexit as we speak.
(7) The Haulier that will do the worst (imo) - will be a Euro Tramping outfit based in Yorkshire. DHL and Kuhne & Nagel will also struggle among the big boys. I see Canute as being the weakest haulier with presence in the South of England.
(8) ALL major agencies will be paying at least £15ph by April 1st for benchmark “Midweek Nights” and “Right-Through Rates” will become common place as well, I predict.
(9) Twickenham will be won by the Conservatives, should Vince Cable step down. Keir Starmer’s St Pancras seat - will be won by the Greens, I predict, should he actually do the decent thing, and resign as an MP.
(10)
The EU will find the entire UK in contempt of EU law by performing an illegal hard brexit. UK hauliers tramping onto the mainland continent will be the victims of EU-wide shenanigans, such as fining any and all UK truckers for so much as walking on the cracks in the pavement… Loads will be empounded, and vehicles confiscated as well, which the UK will consider as an act of piracy, if not outright war.
Instead of retaliating against EU truckers over here in Britain, we offer an amnesty to EU citizens - and launch a trade war designed to bring down the EU establishment, and force through “regime change”, eventually leading to the break-up of the EU back into it’s member states with their own currency.
Mark Carney, incumbent governor of the Bank of England - will be fired by the first lord of the treasury, which will of course completely blindside him. He’ll be offered an amnesty to “go quietly”. If not - there are charges of industrial espionage, and assisting a hostile foreign power to consider. Brexit cannot complete - until Mark Carney is replaced at the Bank of England. Why? - He works for the EU and IMF rather than the UK and British Electorate - that’s why. Whilst I’d like to see Nigel Farage take over that position, realistically - Andrew Sentance is most likely to get the job.
The above text in blue are my opinions only. I don’t really know anything, and am just making some educated guesses based on what observations I’ve made these past 30 months since the referendum result came in.
Think I’m wrong? - Let’s hear your own opinions in as many areas as possible. I’d be fascinated to see the Left view on all this btw.
youtube.com/watch?v=7GTjRLdtLE4
youtube.com/watch?v=EQGDKw0tTl8
Corbyn has really dropped the ball this time around. May’s spiel - was designed to get past Keir Starmer - and NOT Corbyn, who can be got around by a teenager’s lazy lob…