I’d guess it will depend on two things.
The first is how fast he was going, but to get 12 points I’m guessing he was well above the limit.
The second will be the nature of his response to the NIP. If his response implies that he didn’t care about the fact he’d broken the law or is likely to offend again then he could be in trouble.
I’d imagine he’s at risk of losing his licence, at least temporarily.
Tell him to make sure he takes decent biscuits with him, try and get the TC on side, might be the only thing that saves him
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