Yes thats what I mean. HGV drivers are notoriously rubbish at predicting the future. Is there a single one who actually predicted this shortage for example? Yet now they seem to know precisely what will happen next year - as if they are nostradamus looking into the glass while holding a double bacon sandwich smothered in daddys.
If you never saw this coming in a million years why would you think your predictions for next year will be any better?