GasGas:
It’s always the case that elections are decided in key marginals with ‘majority’ votes piling up for Labour in big cities and Tory in the shires.The GE used to be won or lost in Peterborough, believe it or not. It was the ‘swing’ constituency to get a majority in the commons.
Wot’s a “Key Marginal” these days though?
Elections are “exciting” when big majorities are crushed. That’s what we stay up on election night to see happen, after all.
“Going with serve” results on the other hand, are NOT exciting.
At present, the betting market would suggest that at the next election, Labour are going to win a handful more seats, the Tories will lose double that, with the SNP and UKIP gaining about 20 seats apiece.
That - won’t change much. Corbyn won’t be resigning, as he didn’t lose any seats. May will still have the MOST seats - and might try and hang on like Merkel by this point.
Sturgeon and Batton - are also safe for the duration, having gained seats.
Thus, NO big scalps = BORING election, and NO changes forthcoming!
It is therefore a LANDSLIDE result that is needed.
Dozens of former big majorities turned over.
The last time that happened was 1997, where the public have spent five long years waiting for the first chance they got to vote out the Tories, who’d held on in 1992, only for Major to oversee the biggest number of house repossessions in history, crushing the Middle-Englanders into little Englanders as they are now.
These people might still vote - but their votes are not making a difference - yet.
Once voter apathy dries up (which signs are, - it is these days) any result can happen, with “upsets” galore, come the current set of shysters at Westminster, none of whom seem to represent the average working taxpayer any longer.
People are no longer afraid to vote for a minor party “because their vote won’t count”. It doesn’t count - if you don’t vote at all, so such voters have nothing to lose by voting for enough minor parties so we don’t get a majority anything in this country.